Free planning tool

Know the economics behind your next challenge.

Turn fees, pass rates and payout assumptions into a clear cost-per-funded, payout probability and expected-value model.

No sign-upInstant resultsYour assumptions
Prop firm unit economics

Build your model

Start with realistic historical assumptions. Trade-level risk, reward and win rate can be refined later.

01

Your assumptions

Costs

Reset share is the percentage of failed attempts retried at the reset price instead of buying a new challenge.

Probabilities & payout

First payout rate is conditional: of all funded accounts, how many reach at least one payout?

02Lifetime payout assumptions

Use unconditional reach rates: the percentage of all funded accounts expected to reach each payout.

PayoutReach rateAverage amount
03

Live results

LIFETIME MODELCalculating…
Expected attempts to fundedGeometric average
Expected cost per fundedEvaluation + activation
Challenge → first payoutCombined probability
Expected cost per first payoutAll failed paths included
Net average first payoutAfter profit split
Break-even first payoutRequired average amount
Estimated days to fundedAverage challenge path
Estimated days to first payoutRepeated paths included
YOUR PLAN

Chance of at least one result

10 attempts
Funded account
First payout

Assumes attempts are independent. Copied or identical trades across accounts can make outcomes highly correlated.

FUNDED LIFETIME

Expected payout value

Expected payouts after split
Activation & funded costs
Net value per funded account
Sensitivity check

One model, three outcomes

A good plan should not work only under optimistic assumptions.

How to read the numbers

Passing is only the first gate.

A high pass rate can still produce poor economics if funded accounts rarely reach payout. Compare the full chain, not one isolated metric.

Challenge purchaseFunded accountFirst payoutLifetime payouts
Cost per funded +

Expected evaluation spend until a pass, plus activation and other funded costs. Reset usage is included as a blended retry cost.

Challenge → payout probability +

pass rate × first payout rate. A 20% pass rate and 40% funded-to-payout rate produces an 8% end-to-end probability.

Lifetime expected value +

Each payout amount is weighted by its reach probability, adjusted by profit split and costs, then multiplied by challenge pass probability.

Important statistical caution +

Small samples are noisy. Track cohorts by firm, ruleset, account size, strategy and risk level. Active accounts should not yet be counted as wins or failures.

From estimate to evidence

Track the real data behind your model.

PropGridX keeps account rules, daily results, fees, payouts and account history together—so assumptions can become measurable statistics.